La Liga, Spain
Valencia
Athletic Club
Solid pick
Athletic Club win (draw = money back)
On your slip: Away win, draw no bet
77%
sure
- 2.3goals expected in this match
- 57%chance Athletic Club win
- 1.9goals a game these two score between them
Athletic Club are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.
Who wins?
17%Valencia
26%Draw
57%Athletic Club
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
0.6Valencia
expected goals
1.7Athletic Club
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
Under 3.5 goals
80%
Under 4.5 goals
92%
Both teams score
36%
Home team scores
43%
Away team scores
82%
Home team over 1.5 goals
11%
Away team over 1.5 goals
51%
Safer ways to back a side
Valencia or draw
43%
Athletic Club or draw
83%
Either team wins
74%
Valencia, draw no bet
23%
Athletic Club, draw no bet
77%
Valencia +1.5
62%
Athletic Club +1.5
92%
Valencia or draw, 2+ goals
19%
Athletic Club or draw, 2+ goals
62%
The numbers behind it
| Valencia | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Scored per game | 1.2 |
| 1.9 | Conceded per game | 1.0 |
| 1.0 | Scored, last 5 | 1.4 |
| 8 | Games this season | 6 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.