Atlético Madrid win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Away win, draw no bet

76% sure

Atlético Madrid are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

18%Espanyol 24%Draw 58%Atlético Madrid

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Espanyol expected goals 2.0Atlético Madrid

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 57%

Over 3.5 goals 34%

Under 2.5 goals 43%

Under 3.5 goals 66%

Under 4.5 goals 82%

Both teams score 55%

Home team scores 62%

Away team scores 86%

Home team over 1.5 goals 26%

Away team over 1.5 goals 59%

Espanyol or draw 42%

Atlético Madrid or draw 82%

Either team wins 76%

Espanyol, draw no bet 24%

Atlético Madrid, draw no bet 76%

Espanyol +1.5 63%

Atlético Madrid +1.5 92%

Espanyol or draw, 2+ goals 30%

Atlético Madrid or draw, 2+ goals 68%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.