Premier League, England
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Solid pick
2+ goals
On your slip: Over 1.5 goals
84%
sure
- 3.5goals expected in this match
- 44%chance Newcastle United win
- 2.7goals a game these two score between them
Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.5 goals in this match.
Who wins?
44%Newcastle United
25%Draw
32%Aston Villa
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.9Newcastle United
expected goals
1.6Aston Villa
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
Under 3.5 goals
54%
Under 4.5 goals
73%
Both teams score
69%
Home team scores
85%
Away team scores
80%
Home team over 1.5 goals
57%
Away team over 1.5 goals
47%
Safer ways to back a side
Newcastle United or draw
68%
Aston Villa or draw
56%
Either team wins
75%
Newcastle United, draw no bet
58%
Aston Villa, draw no bet
42%
Newcastle United +1.5
84%
Aston Villa +1.5
75%
Newcastle United or draw, 2+ goals
59%
Aston Villa or draw, 2+ goals
48%
The numbers behind it
| Newcastle United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Scored per game | 1.0 |
| 2.2 | Conceded per game | 1.8 |
| 1.4 | Scored, last 5 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Games this season | 6 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.