3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

81% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

31%Aluminij 32%Draw 37%Olimpija Ljubljana

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Aluminij expected goals 0.9Olimpija Ljubljana

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 61%

Away team scores 59%

Home team over 1.5 goals 24%

Away team over 1.5 goals 22%

Aluminij or draw 63%

Olimpija Ljubljana or draw 69%

Either team wins 68%

Aluminij, draw no bet 45%

Olimpija Ljubljana, draw no bet 55%

Aluminij +1.5 89%

Olimpija Ljubljana +1.5 87%

Aluminij or draw, 2+ goals 38%

Olimpija Ljubljana or draw, 2+ goals 36%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.