2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

77% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.5 goals.

Who wins?

26%Obolon Kyiv 35%Draw 39%Veres Rivne

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.6Obolon Kyiv expected goals 0.9Veres Rivne

Over 1.5 goals 46%

Over 2.5 goals 20%

Over 3.5 goals 7%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 28%

Home team scores 44%

Away team scores 61%

Home team over 1.5 goals 12%

Away team over 1.5 goals 24%

Obolon Kyiv or draw 61%

Veres Rivne or draw 74%

Either team wins 65%

Obolon Kyiv, draw no bet 40%

Veres Rivne, draw no bet 60%

Obolon Kyiv +1.5 84%

Veres Rivne +1.5 92%

Obolon Kyiv or draw, 2+ goals 24%

Veres Rivne or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.