3+ goals

On your slip: Over 2.5 goals

77% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 4.3 goals in this match.

Who wins?

27%Necaxa 22%Draw 51%Atlas

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Necaxa expected goals 2.7Atlas

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 80%

Over 3.5 goals 63%

Under 2.5 goals 19%

Under 3.5 goals 37%

Under 4.5 goals 56%

Both teams score 76%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 75%

Necaxa or draw 49%

Atlas or draw 73%

Either team wins 78%

Necaxa, draw no bet 34%

Atlas, draw no bet 66%

Necaxa +1.5 59%

Atlas +1.5 90%

Necaxa or draw, 2+ goals 36%

Atlas or draw, 2+ goals 74%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.