2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

77% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

35%Burnley 27%Draw 38%Wolves

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.5Burnley expected goals 1.5Wolves

Over 1.5 goals 80%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

Over 3.5 goals 33%

Under 2.5 goals 44%

Under 3.5 goals 67%

Under 4.5 goals 83%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 77%

Away team scores 77%

Home team over 1.5 goals 43%

Away team over 1.5 goals 43%

Burnley or draw 62%

Wolves or draw 65%

Either team wins 73%

Burnley, draw no bet 48%

Wolves, draw no bet 52%

Burnley +1.5 82%

Wolves +1.5 82%

Burnley or draw, 2+ goals 50%

Wolves or draw, 2+ goals 50%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.