3+ goals

On your slip: Over 2.5 goals

76% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 4.2 goals in this match.

Who wins?

38%Le Mans 23%Draw 38%Toulouse

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.1Le Mans expected goals 2.0Toulouse

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 79%

Over 3.5 goals 60%

Under 2.5 goals 21%

Under 3.5 goals 40%

Under 4.5 goals 60%

Both teams score 77%

Home team scores 88%

Away team scores 87%

Home team over 1.5 goals 63%

Away team over 1.5 goals 60%

Le Mans or draw 62%

Toulouse or draw 62%

Either team wins 77%

Le Mans, draw no bet 50%

Toulouse, draw no bet 50%

Le Mans +1.5 79%

Toulouse +1.5 76%

Le Mans or draw, 2+ goals 58%

Toulouse or draw, 2+ goals 54%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.