2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

80% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.1 goals in this match.

Who wins?

48%Frosinone 25%Draw 27%Sassuolo

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.9Frosinone expected goals 1.2Sassuolo

Over 1.5 goals 83%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

Over 3.5 goals 38%

Under 2.5 goals 40%

Under 3.5 goals 62%

Under 4.5 goals 79%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 85%

Away team scores 70%

Home team over 1.5 goals 57%

Away team over 1.5 goals 34%

Frosinone or draw 73%

Sassuolo or draw 52%

Either team wins 75%

Frosinone, draw no bet 64%

Sassuolo, draw no bet 36%

Frosinone +1.5 91%

Sassuolo +1.5 69%

Frosinone or draw, 2+ goals 65%

Sassuolo or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.