3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

26%Barranquilla 30%Draw 43%Tigres FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Barranquilla expected goals 1.3Tigres FC

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 43%

Home team scores 56%

Away team scores 74%

Home team over 1.5 goals 20%

Away team over 1.5 goals 38%

Barranquilla or draw 57%

Tigres FC or draw 74%

Either team wins 70%

Barranquilla, draw no bet 38%

Tigres FC, draw no bet 62%

Barranquilla +1.5 77%

Tigres FC +1.5 92%

Barranquilla or draw, 2+ goals 32%

Tigres FC or draw, 2+ goals 51%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.