3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

26%Al-Faisaly 30%Draw 44%Al Kholood

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Al-Faisaly expected goals 1.3Al Kholood

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 36%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 64%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 72%

Home team over 1.5 goals 23%

Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

Al-Faisaly or draw 56%

Al Kholood or draw 74%

Either team wins 70%

Al-Faisaly, draw no bet 37%

Al Kholood, draw no bet 63%

Al-Faisaly +1.5 80%

Al Kholood +1.5 91%

Al-Faisaly or draw, 2+ goals 35%

Al Kholood or draw, 2+ goals 49%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.