FC Masters
All picks
UEFA Europa Conference League, World
Gent
Aarhus GF

Solid pick

Gent don't lose by 2+

On your slip: Home +1.5 handicap

Gent rarely lose heavily at home; Aarhus GF are expected to score only about 1.3.

Who wins?

45%Gent 27%Draw 29%Aarhus GF

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.3Gent expected goals 1.3Aarhus GF
Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%
Over 3.5 goals 26%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Under 3.5 goals 74%
Under 4.5 goals 88%
Both teams score 54%
Home team scores 73%
Away team scores 72%
Home team over 1.5 goals 38%
Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

Safer ways to back a side

Gent or draw 71%
Aarhus GF or draw 55%
Either team wins 73%
Gent, draw no bet 61%
Aarhus GF, draw no bet 39%
Gent +1.5 84%
Aarhus GF +1.5 83%
Gent or draw, 2+ goals 48%
Aarhus GF or draw, 2+ goals 46%

The numbers behind it

GentAarhus GF
1.5Scored per game1.9
0.8Conceded per game1.0
1.8Scored, last 52.6
6Games this season21

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.