3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

85% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

24%Syunik 32%Draw 44%Shirak

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.7Syunik expected goals 1.1Shirak

Over 1.5 goals 54%

Over 2.5 goals 26%

Over 3.5 goals 10%

Under 2.5 goals 74%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 34%

Home team scores 50%

Away team scores 66%

Home team over 1.5 goals 15%

Away team over 1.5 goals 29%

Syunik or draw 56%

Shirak or draw 76%

Either team wins 68%

Syunik, draw no bet 35%

Shirak, draw no bet 65%

Syunik +1.5 82%

Shirak +1.5 92%

Syunik or draw, 2+ goals 28%

Shirak or draw, 2+ goals 43%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.