3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

85% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.7 goals.

Who wins?

37%Xiamen Feilu 35%Draw 28%Tai'an Tiankuang

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Xiamen Feilu expected goals 0.8Tai'an Tiankuang

Over 1.5 goals 52%

Over 2.5 goals 24%

Over 3.5 goals 9%

Under 2.5 goals 76%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 34%

Home team scores 61%

Away team scores 53%

Home team over 1.5 goals 24%

Away team over 1.5 goals 18%

Xiamen Feilu or draw 72%

Tai'an Tiankuang or draw 63%

Either team wins 65%

Xiamen Feilu, draw no bet 57%

Tai'an Tiankuang, draw no bet 43%

Xiamen Feilu +1.5 91%

Tai'an Tiankuang +1.5 86%

Xiamen Feilu or draw, 2+ goals 38%

Tai'an Tiankuang or draw, 2+ goals 31%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.