Famalicao don't lose by 2+

On your slip: Home +1.5 handicap

89% sure

Famalicao rarely lose heavily at home; Alverca are expected to score only about 1.0.

Who wins?

46%Famalicao 29%Draw 25%Alverca

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.3Famalicao expected goals 1.0Alverca

Over 1.5 goals 69%

Over 2.5 goals 42%

Over 3.5 goals 21%

Under 2.5 goals 58%

Under 3.5 goals 79%

Under 4.5 goals 91%

Both teams score 48%

Home team scores 74%

Away team scores 64%

Home team over 1.5 goals 39%

Away team over 1.5 goals 27%

Famalicao or draw 75%

Alverca or draw 54%

Either team wins 71%

Famalicao, draw no bet 64%

Alverca, draw no bet 36%

Famalicao +1.5 89%

Alverca +1.5 79%

Famalicao or draw, 2+ goals 51%

Alverca or draw, 2+ goals 38%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.