FC Masters
All picks
Serie A, Brazil
Bahia
Mirassol

Banker pick

1+ goals

On your slip: Over 0.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.6 goals in this match.

Who wins?

50%Bahia 27%Draw 24%Mirassol

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.6Bahia expected goals 1.1Mirassol
Over 0.5 goals 92%
Over 1.5 goals 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Under 3.5 goals 73%
Both teams score 53%
Home team scores 79%
Away team scores 66%

Double chance

Bahia or draw 76%
Mirassol or draw 50%
Either team wins 73%

The numbers behind it

BahiaMirassol
1.5Scored per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.8Scored, last 52.2
29Games this season29

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.