Serie A, Brazil
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Solid pick
Palmeiras win or draw
On your slip: Home or draw
83%
sure
- 2.1goals expected in this match
- 61%chance Palmeiras win
- 2.7goals a game these two score between them
Palmeiras are hard to beat at home; Corinthians are expected to manage only about 0.5 goals.
Who wins?
61%Palmeiras
26%Draw
13%Corinthians
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.6Palmeiras
expected goals
0.5Corinthians
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals
65%
Under 3.5 goals
84%
Both teams score
34%
Home team scores
79%
Away team scores
42%
Safer ways to back a side
Palmeiras or draw
87%
Corinthians or draw
39%
Either team wins
74%
The numbers behind it
| Palmeiras | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Scored per game | 1.0 |
| 0.7 | Conceded per game | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Scored, last 5 | 0.8 |
| 29 | Games this season | 29 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.