Southampton
Portsmouth FC
Solid pick
Southampton win or draw
On your slip: Home or draw
80%
sure
- 3.3goals expected in this match
- 63%chance Southampton win
- 3.7goals a game these two score between them
Southampton are hard to beat at home; Portsmouth FC are expected to manage only about 1.0 goals.
Who wins?
63%Southampton
21%Draw
16%Portsmouth FC
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
2.3Southampton
expected goals
1.0Portsmouth FC
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
Under 3.5 goals
58%
Both teams score
58%
Home team scores
90%
Away team scores
64%
Safer ways to back a side
Southampton or draw
84%
Portsmouth FC or draw
37%
Either team wins
79%
The numbers behind it
| Southampton | Portsmouth FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Scored per game | 1.3 |
| 1.2 | Conceded per game | 1.4 |
| 2.0 | Scored, last 5 | 1.0 |
| 8 | Games this season | 7 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.