Primeira Liga, Portugal
Benfica
Guimaraes
Strong pick
Benfica win or draw
On your slip: Home or draw
87%
sure
- 3.2goals expected in this match
- 74%chance Benfica win
- 3.9goals a game these two score between them
Benfica are hard to beat at home; Guimaraes are expected to manage only about 0.8 goals.
Who wins?
74%Benfica
17%Draw
9%Guimaraes
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
2.4Benfica
expected goals
0.8Guimaraes
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Under 3.5 goals
60%
Both teams score
52%
Home team scores
91%
Away team scores
56%
Safer ways to back a side
Benfica or draw
91%
Guimaraes or draw
26%
Either team wins
83%
The numbers behind it
| Benfica | Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Scored per game | 0.7 |
| 1.0 | Conceded per game | 1.1 |
| 2.6 | Scored, last 5 | 0.6 |
| 7 | Games this season | 7 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.