FC Masters
All picks
Eredivisie, Netherlands
Excelsior
Groningen

Strong pick

2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.7 goals in this match.

Who wins?

42%Excelsior 24%Draw 33%Groningen

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

2.0Excelsior expected goals 1.7Groningen
Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 71%
Under 2.5 goals 29%
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams score 71%
Home team scores 87%
Away team scores 81%

Safer ways to back a side

Excelsior or draw 67%
Groningen or draw 58%
Either team wins 76%

The numbers behind it

ExcelsiorGroningen
2.1Scored per game2.1
1.3Conceded per game1.9
2.0Scored, last 51.8
7Games this season7

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.