Excelsior
Groningen
Strong pick
2+ goals
On your slip: Over 1.5 goals
86%
sure
- 3.7goals expected in this match
- 42%chance Excelsior win
- 4.3goals a game these two score between them
Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.7 goals in this match.
Who wins?
42%Excelsior
24%Draw
33%Groningen
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
2.0Excelsior
expected goals
1.7Groningen
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
Under 3.5 goals
50%
Both teams score
71%
Home team scores
87%
Away team scores
81%
Safer ways to back a side
Excelsior or draw
67%
Groningen or draw
58%
Either team wins
76%
The numbers behind it
| Excelsior | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Scored per game | 2.1 |
| 1.3 | Conceded per game | 1.9 |
| 2.0 | Scored, last 5 | 1.8 |
| 7 | Games this season | 7 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.