Serie A, Italy
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Solid pick
2+ goals
On your slip: Over 1.5 goals
84%
sure
- 3.4goals expected in this match
- 41%chance AC Milan win
- 3.8goals a game these two score between them
Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.
Who wins?
34%Sassuolo
25%Draw
41%AC Milan
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.8Sassuolo
expected goals
1.6AC Milan
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
Under 3.5 goals
56%
Both teams score
67%
Home team scores
83%
Away team scores
81%
Safer ways to back a side
Sassuolo or draw
59%
AC Milan or draw
66%
Either team wins
75%
The numbers behind it
| Sassuolo | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Scored per game | 2.0 |
| 1.8 | Conceded per game | 0.8 |
| 1.8 | Scored, last 5 | 1.6 |
| 5 | Games this season | 5 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.