West Ham win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Away win, draw no bet

80% sure

West Ham are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

16%Lincoln 21%Draw 63%West Ham

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Lincoln expected goals 2.3West Ham

Over 1.5 goals 85%

Over 2.5 goals 64%

Over 3.5 goals 42%

Under 2.5 goals 36%

Under 3.5 goals 58%

Under 4.5 goals 77%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 62%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 25%

Away team over 1.5 goals 67%

Lincoln or draw 37%

West Ham or draw 84%

Either team wins 79%

Lincoln, draw no bet 20%

West Ham, draw no bet 80%

Lincoln +1.5 55%

West Ham +1.5 92%

Lincoln or draw, 2+ goals 26%

West Ham or draw, 2+ goals 74%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.