2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

85% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 4.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

37%Norwich City 23%Draw 40%Southampton

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.9Norwich City expected goals 2.1Southampton

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 76%

Over 3.5 goals 57%

Under 2.5 goals 24%

Under 3.5 goals 43%

Under 4.5 goals 63%

Both teams score 75%

Home team scores 85%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 57%

Away team over 1.5 goals 62%

Norwich City or draw 60%

Southampton or draw 63%

Either team wins 77%

Norwich City, draw no bet 48%

Southampton, draw no bet 52%

Norwich City +1.5 75%

Southampton +1.5 81%

Norwich City or draw, 2+ goals 52%

Southampton or draw, 2+ goals 59%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.