2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

86% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 4.2 goals in this match.

Who wins?

30%FC Saarbrücken 22%Draw 48%MSV Duisburg

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.7FC Saarbrücken expected goals 2.5MSV Duisburg

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 79%

Over 3.5 goals 61%

Under 2.5 goals 21%

Under 3.5 goals 39%

Under 4.5 goals 58%

Both teams score 76%

Home team scores 82%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 52%

Away team over 1.5 goals 71%

FC Saarbrücken or draw 52%

MSV Duisburg or draw 70%

Either team wins 78%

FC Saarbrücken, draw no bet 38%

MSV Duisburg, draw no bet 62%

FC Saarbrücken +1.5 65%

MSV Duisburg +1.5 87%

FC Saarbrücken or draw, 2+ goals 42%

MSV Duisburg or draw, 2+ goals 69%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.