Premier League, Egypt
Al Ittihad
El Gouna
Solid pick
3 goals or fewer
On your slip: Under 3.5 goals
80%
sure
- 1.9goals expected in this match
- 45%chance Al Ittihad win
- 1.8goals a game these two score between them
Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.
Who wins?
45%Al Ittihad
33%Draw
21%El Gouna
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.2Al Ittihad
expected goals
0.7El Gouna
Over 1.5 goals
58%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Over 3.5 goals
13%
Under 2.5 goals
70%
Under 3.5 goals
87%
Under 4.5 goals
93%
Both teams score
37%
Home team scores
70%
Away team scores
51%
Home team over 1.5 goals
34%
Away team over 1.5 goals
16%
Safer ways to back a side
Al Ittihad or draw
79%
El Gouna or draw
55%
Either team wins
67%
Al Ittihad, draw no bet
68%
El Gouna, draw no bet
32%
Al Ittihad +1.5
93%
El Gouna +1.5
78%
Al Ittihad or draw, 2+ goals
47%
El Gouna or draw, 2+ goals
28%
The numbers behind it
| Al Ittihad | El Gouna | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Scored per game | 0.6 |
| 0.6 | Conceded per game | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Scored, last 5 | 0.4 |
| 5 | Games this season | 5 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.