Simba win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

90% sure

Simba are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

70%Simba 23%Draw 8%Mashujaa

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Simba expected goals 0.4Mashujaa

Over 1.5 goals 60%

Over 2.5 goals 32%

Over 3.5 goals 14%

Under 2.5 goals 68%

Under 3.5 goals 86%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 27%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 33%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 6%

Simba or draw 92%

Mashujaa or draw 30%

Either team wins 77%

Simba, draw no bet 90%

Mashujaa, draw no bet 10%

Simba +1.5 93%

Mashujaa +1.5 62%

Simba or draw, 2+ goals 57%

Mashujaa or draw, 2+ goals 14%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.