3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

44%Sarıyer 32%Draw 24%BB Bodrumspor

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Sarıyer expected goals 0.7BB Bodrumspor

Over 1.5 goals 55%

Over 2.5 goals 27%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 73%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 35%

Home team scores 67%

Away team scores 51%

Home team over 1.5 goals 30%

Away team over 1.5 goals 16%

Sarıyer or draw 76%

BB Bodrumspor or draw 56%

Either team wins 68%

Sarıyer, draw no bet 65%

BB Bodrumspor, draw no bet 35%

Sarıyer +1.5 93%

BB Bodrumspor +1.5 81%

Sarıyer or draw, 2+ goals 43%

BB Bodrumspor or draw, 2+ goals 28%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.