2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

80% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.1 goals in this match.

Who wins?

54%Birmingham 24%Draw 22%Preston

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.8Birmingham expected goals 1.2Preston

Over 1.5 goals 82%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

Over 3.5 goals 37%

Under 2.5 goals 41%

Under 3.5 goals 63%

Under 4.5 goals 80%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 84%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 55%

Away team over 1.5 goals 35%

Birmingham or draw 78%

Preston or draw 46%

Either team wins 76%

Birmingham, draw no bet 71%

Preston, draw no bet 29%

Birmingham +1.5 90%

Preston +1.5 71%

Birmingham or draw, 2+ goals 62%

Preston or draw, 2+ goals 39%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.