2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

84% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.

Who wins?

36%Millwall 26%Draw 38%Swansea

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Millwall expected goals 1.8Swansea

Over 1.5 goals 86%

Over 2.5 goals 65%

Over 3.5 goals 43%

Under 2.5 goals 35%

Under 3.5 goals 57%

Under 4.5 goals 75%

Both teams score 67%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 83%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 52%

Millwall or draw 62%

Swansea or draw 64%

Either team wins 74%

Millwall, draw no bet 49%

Swansea, draw no bet 51%

Millwall +1.5 78%

Swansea +1.5 82%

Millwall or draw, 2+ goals 50%

Swansea or draw, 2+ goals 56%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.