Wolves win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

83% sure

Wolves are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

68%Wolves 19%Draw 14%Bolton

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.6Wolves expected goals 1.1Bolton

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 73%

Over 3.5 goals 52%

Under 2.5 goals 27%

Under 3.5 goals 48%

Under 4.5 goals 67%

Both teams score 64%

Home team scores 93%

Away team scores 68%

Home team over 1.5 goals 74%

Away team over 1.5 goals 32%

Wolves or draw 86%

Bolton or draw 32%

Either team wins 81%

Wolves, draw no bet 83%

Bolton, draw no bet 17%

Wolves +1.5 93%

Bolton +1.5 52%

Wolves or draw, 2+ goals 78%

Bolton or draw, 2+ goals 27%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.