3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

81% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

34%Wrexham 32%Draw 34%West Brom

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Wrexham expected goals 1.0West Brom

Over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 goals 29%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 71%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 38%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 63%

Home team over 1.5 goals 22%

Away team over 1.5 goals 26%

Wrexham or draw 66%

West Brom or draw 66%

Either team wins 68%

Wrexham, draw no bet 50%

West Brom, draw no bet 50%

Wrexham +1.5 86%

West Brom +1.5 89%

Wrexham or draw, 2+ goals 36%

West Brom or draw, 2+ goals 40%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.