3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

83% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

24%Oviedo 31%Draw 46%Eibar

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.6Oviedo expected goals 1.3Eibar

Over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 goals 29%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 71%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 32%

Home team scores 43%

Away team scores 73%

Home team over 1.5 goals 11%

Away team over 1.5 goals 38%

Oviedo or draw 54%

Eibar or draw 76%

Either team wins 69%

Oviedo, draw no bet 34%

Eibar, draw no bet 66%

Oviedo +1.5 73%

Eibar +1.5 92%

Oviedo or draw, 2+ goals 22%

Eibar or draw, 2+ goals 50%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.