3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

80% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.1 goals.

Who wins?

29%Al-Adalah 31%Draw 40%Al Anwar

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Al-Adalah expected goals 1.2Al Anwar

Over 1.5 goals 62%

Over 2.5 goals 34%

Over 3.5 goals 15%

Under 2.5 goals 66%

Under 3.5 goals 85%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 42%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 69%

Home team over 1.5 goals 22%

Away team over 1.5 goals 33%

Al-Adalah or draw 60%

Al Anwar or draw 71%

Either team wins 69%

Al-Adalah, draw no bet 42%

Al Anwar, draw no bet 58%

Al-Adalah +1.5 82%

Al Anwar +1.5 91%

Al-Adalah or draw, 2+ goals 35%

Al Anwar or draw, 2+ goals 46%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.