FC Masters
All picks
Segunda División, Spain
Burgos
Granada CF

Strong pick

2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

54%Burgos 23%Draw 23%Granada CF

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

2.5Burgos expected goals 1.4Granada CF
Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 74%
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Under 2.5 goals 26%
Under 3.5 goals 46%
Under 4.5 goals 66%
Both teams score 69%
Home team scores 92%
Away team scores 74%
Home team over 1.5 goals 71%
Away team over 1.5 goals 39%

Safer ways to back a side

Burgos or draw 77%
Granada CF or draw 46%
Either team wins 77%
Burgos, draw no bet 70%
Granada CF, draw no bet 30%
Burgos +1.5 92%
Granada CF +1.5 59%
Burgos or draw, 2+ goals 74%
Granada CF or draw, 2+ goals 34%

The numbers behind it

BurgosGranada CF
1.5Scored per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.6
1.4Scored, last 51.6
8Games this season8

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.